tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-13519202.post112341961970416054..comments2023-10-17T06:50:26.427-07:00Comments on Poker with WillWonka: A Good DayWillWonkahttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06154883018461460762noreply@blogger.comBlogger4125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-13519202.post-1123530268995419632005-08-08T12:44:00.000-07:002005-08-08T12:44:00.000-07:00I definitely agree on the preflop play; but at the...I definitely agree on the preflop play; but at the same time the table was overly aggressive and I wanted to do some trapping. I am aware of the risks and was able to deal with them. This was an atypical strategy for me as I am usually very aggressive with chip lead at bubble time.<BR/>The most likely scenario would have been me raising 3x.. and him pushing... although with us being the 2 chip leaders.. a call seems more likely. Flop may not have changed as still would have checked his set to the raiser... Whether or not I would have "continued bet", I can't say.<BR/><BR/>Anyway, I'm not sure on the takeaway from this. I'll just take it and move on to the next one..WillWonkahttps://www.blogger.com/profile/06154883018461460762noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-13519202.post-1123527198880569782005-08-08T11:53:00.000-07:002005-08-08T11:53:00.000-07:00I'd have to run the math on the decision on the tu...I'd have to run the math on the decision on the turn, it's pretty close. <BR/><BR/>One thing I will say is that, IMO, it is never a good idea to open-limp four handed, especially when you're the chip leader. On the bubble you should force much tougher decisions from your opponents than calling half a BB or just checking and seeing a flop. When you have a hand as strong as KQs on the bubble, people should net be able to see cheap flops against you with little pairs and hit sets.<BR/><BR/>Now, does he call a big bet or move in with a pair of 7s? Maybe, and in this case that doesn't change the outcome. It also doesn't change the fact that with the chip lead and on the bubble, you should be leaning <I>hard</I> on your opponents, especially with good cards.<BR/><BR/>Just my .02Mournhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/05592466386754469836noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-13519202.post-1123518884862918012005-08-08T09:34:00.000-07:002005-08-08T09:34:00.000-07:00Nice call with the flush draw. First off, even if ...Nice call with the flush draw. First off, even if you put him on a set, you had 2 queens and 9 diamonds for 11 outs (maybe 10 if he held the 7d). You saw four cards on the board and two in your hand, so out of 46 unknown cards, you had a 1 to 3.5 chance to hit. The pot was already 16000 (or maybe 20000 if when it says "Raises: 10000" means 10000 on top of the 4000 bet). You only had to pay 6000 or so, so the pay ratio was 1 to 2.5 (or 3.5). This would appear as though you made a poor move. However, you did not know that he had a set. He could've pulled this with pocket JJs, a pair of Ts, or two pair (7s and 6s, for example), in which case, the three Kings are additional outs. <BR/><BR/>Point is, statistically it was a right move, and considering that you were the chipleader on the bubble, it is also strategically a good move. You earned it Will. Congrats.Jordanhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12831176156389777158noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-13519202.post-1123432108594201252005-08-07T09:28:00.000-07:002005-08-07T09:28:00.000-07:00Hey Congrats on yet another fine session Will.Litt...Hey Congrats on yet another fine session Will.<BR/>Little AcornmanLittleacornmanhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/18275459231168162432noreply@blogger.com