Worst Month Ever and OBFV

Well, as usual, the good never lasts. I went on a 27 buyin losing streak this month playing 1/2. I ended up getting a little of it back towards the end of the month; but still landed 17 buyins down (only 9.5 buyins down EV adjusted). That last part is the one that gets you. When you continue to get your cards in good and end up losing, I don't have to tell you how unsettling it is.

And then practically the first hand for November went like this:

Full Tilt Poker $1/$2 No Limit Hold'em - 9 players - http://www.handconverter.com/hands/1006513
The DeucesCracked.com Hand History Converter

BTN: $96.90
SB: $236.50
BB: $200.00
UTG: $79.50
UTG+1: $247.80
Hero (UTG+2): $202.00
MP1: $319.45
MP2: $313.20
CO: $75.85

Pre Flop: ($3.00) Hero is UTG+2 with 7c 8c
2 folds, Hero raises to $7, 1 fold, MP2 calls $7, 4 folds

Flop: ($17.00) 3s 8d 9d (2 players)
Hero bets $10, MP2 calls $10

Turn: ($37.00) 8s (2 players)
Hero checks, MP2 bets $19, Hero raises to $48, MP2 calls $29

River: ($133.00) Th (2 players)
Hero bets $60, MP2 raises to $248.20 all in, Hero calls $77 all in

Final Pot: $407.00
Hero mucks 7c 8c
MP2 shows Ts Td (a full house, Tens full of Eights)
MP2 wins $404.00
(Rake: $3.00)

That was one of three hands where a 2 outer hit on the river. Good Times.

But then this hand came. Can you say Overbet for Value? What do you think this guy is calling with?

Full Tilt Poker $1/$2 No Limit Hold'em - 9 players - http://www.handconverter.com/hands/1006517
The DeucesCracked.com Hand History Converter

BB: $250.50
UTG: $332.95
UTG+1: $777.45
UTG+2: $326.35
Hero (MP1): $522.95
MP2: $204.15
CO: $289.75
BTN: $253.65
SB: $218.85

Pre Flop: ($3.00) Hero is MP1 with Ts Td
UTG calls $2, 2 folds, Hero raises to $10, 5 folds, UTG calls $8

Flop: ($23.00) Th Jc Js (2 players)
UTG checks, Hero checks

Turn: ($23.00) 9c (2 players)
UTG checks, Hero bets $12, UTG calls $12

River: ($47.00) 8h (2 players)
UTG bets $47, Hero raises to $500.95 all in, UTG calls $263.95 all in


He insta called. What kind of hand does he have? This is typically one of those things where he is going to call any amount. I'll post in the comments a bit later what he had.

BTW.. he was a 16/4/.7 guy over just 25 hands.

So, I'm cashing in some points for a 2K cash bonus. They have changed the way you work off bonuses. You only 0.04 per point (as opposed to 0.06). Plus I only get 90 two work it it off. So that is like 555 pts a day. Plus, there is a MGR hit, so really it is only like a $1,460 bonus. I'm not sure that it is worth it; but I will give it a try. What are your thoughts on the new Black Card reward system at Full Tilt?

Have a nice day!!!