Thursday, May 21, 2009

AI Shoulda Woulda Coulda and more river decisions

Ah man!!! I should have bet on Chris Allen to win American Idol like I had mentioned in a few posts early on. 8-1 would have been a nice price to get. Again, I'm not shocked that he won and quite frankly expected him to win. Oh well..

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As we know, river decisions are the hardest so here are a couple more.

Villain is a 31/21/5.3 guy over 70 hands.

Full Tilt Poker $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em - 5 players - http://www.thehandconverter.com/hands/129219
The Official DeucesCracked.com Hand History Converter

Hero (CO): $54.40
BTN: $98.15
SB: $51.00
BB: $26.10
UTG: $74.25

Pre Flop: ($0.75) Hero is CO with 2d Ad
1 fold, Hero raises to $1.75, 2 folds, BB calls $1.25

Flop: ($3.75) Td Ks As (2 players)
BB bets $2.50, Hero calls $2.50

Turn: ($8.75) 5h (2 players)
BB checks, Hero checks

River: ($8.75) 2s (2 players)
BB bets $7.50, Hero ??

What beats me? 2 pair Aces, spades, straight (not likely)

What do I beat. I now beat KT, non 2 pair aces or a bluff.

What do you do?

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Villain is a 36/16/2.3 guy over just 27 hands.

Full Tilt Poker $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em - 7 players - http://www.thehandconverter.com/hands/129220
The Official DeucesCracked.com Hand History Converter

MP: $50.85
Hero (CO): $78.50
BTN: $28.00
SB: $100.20
BB: $50.95
UTG: $50.00
UTG+1: $50.75

UTG posts a big blind ($0.50)

Pre Flop: ($1.25) Hero is CO with Qc Jc
UTG checks, 2 folds, Hero calls $0.50, BTN calls $0.50, SB calls $0.25, BB checks

Flop: ($2.50) Tc 5c 9s (5 players)
SB checks, BB checks, UTG checks, Hero bets $2, BTN calls $2, SB folds, BB folds, UTG folds

Turn: ($6.50) Js (2 players)
Hero bets $4, BTN raises to $8, Hero calls $4

River: ($22.50) 7h (2 players)
Hero checks, BTN bets $17.50 all in, Hero ??

Should I have been re-raising on turn? Turn min raises are typcially pretty strong.

What do you do?

Mookie winner Smokkee, Have a nice day!!!

2 comments:

noldmax said...

H1) If the deuce were anything but a spade, I'd be making a small value raise. As it is, I would call. Aggro stats and donk lead widen his range quite a bit, so I think you could see a lot of A-x hands and even hands like KQ/KJ.

H2) Fold river, perfectly fine as played. Very little fold equity with turn re-raise, given small stack and strength shown. Worse than 2-pair is very unlikely, so rivered top pair is no good.

WillWonka said...

I ended up folding both of them.

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