Tuesday, June 10, 2008

What was I thinking, you can't beat Presto and All-in EV Graph

I Woke up early this morning or should I say early for me as I needed to some work before people got on the system. So i got up around 5:00 and did my work. 5:30 rolls around and I am not tired so what do I do? Of course, head to the tables. Big Mistake...

2nd hand... JJ... I raise and get 3 bet and call. I check/call a board of 664 and fold to a large turn bet when Ace comes.

12th hand... I don't know what I was thinking... I thought I could beat Presto. Now had I known, it was Presto, it might have changed things... Here is the hand.

Villain in this hand ends up being a 29/18 guy; but at the time he was a 40/20 guy who was raising a bunch preflop and post flop. I obviously thought I would make him fold.

Full Tilt Poker $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players
The Official DeucesCracked.com Hand History Converter

CO: $139.30
BTN: $113.95
SB: $36.20
BB: $63.70
UTG: $50.00
Hero (MP): $50.00

Pre Flop: Hero is MP with 4 4

1 fold, Hero raises to $1.75, CO calls $1.75, 3 folds

Flop: ($4.25) 3 8 5 (2 players)

Hero bets $3, CO calls $3

Turn: ($10.25) 2 (2 players)

Hero checks, CO bets $6.25, Hero raises to $45.25 all in, CO calls $39

River: ($100.75) 5

Final Pot: $100.75

CO shows 5c 5s (four of a kind, Fives)
Hero shows 4h 4c (two pair, Fives and Fours)
CO wins $97.75
(Rake: $3.00)

That last 5 was just uncalled for.

Hand 17

I get KK and still don't know how to fold them.. I open raise, get 3 bet and this time, no slow play for me... 4 bet... get one fold but the other guy goes all in. Does he have aces? Nope... 76s

So again.. Open raise by me from cutoff... SB 3 bets... BB calls.. I 4 bet... SB folds... BB goes all in for a few extra dollars... with 76s.

Anyway, everybody knows how this one ends... 6AJ 7 3.. His 2 pair are good.

From there, pretty much break even. I played a little under an hour and lost over 2 buyins. Dang!!!

Evening Session..

Starts with JJ allin in Preflop with AQ (shorty).. FLop is 568.. Turn A River Q.. Again, Q was overkill

AA goes down to AT on river Flush (all in on Turn)

Flop sets and lose... ladidada...

Luckily, I ended up the evening session a little bit up even after the brutal beats early on.. and late .. Take a look at this graph. The dark green line shows actual results. The light green line shows what you All in EV was based on odds of winning once everybody is All in. As you can see, I was a little unlucky (as usual).

Oh well, what can you do... Ended up night about 2 buyins down; but as you can see from chart I was 5 buyins down at one point so I guess I can't be too unhappy.

Holdem Manager released it's first article on Plugging Leaks using HEM and it was pretty good. At first glance, I seem to be OK, my postflop aggression is where I need work. I will look a little more into detail on this; but some really good stuff from these guys.
Have a nice day!!!!


spritpot said...

Where's this article from Hold 'Em Manager? I couldn't find it anywhere on their website...

WillWonka said...

If you have HEM, you need to download the latest patch which is 1.05.09 or something like that. It is then embedded into the program along with the needed filters.

Renee said...

Too bad about your play. I prefer playing in evenings, something about the morning is never so lucky for me...

Lifesagrind said...

I would have emailed but I don't have your address. I wanted to talk to you about writing a review of holdem manager. If you could email me at tom at pokertechreviews.com

Who links to my website?