And the hits just keep coming... In the comments yesterday, there was some nice discussion on variance... I mentioned that I left the ring game for a while to get away from the variance. As I've said in previous articles, I would would win 4 or 5 days and then it I would tend to give it all back in one day. On the other hand, SNG play had been very consistent... I was averaging over 40% in the money with a 25% ROI and I was getting close to that through last Friday as I was up around $860. The ITM wasn't quite 40 and the ROI wasn't 20; but I was staying consistent. Yes, I had my bad days and yes I had my share of bad beats and bad decisions; but whoa... this week has not been good. Can it be attributable to variance or something else. To tell you the truth, I just don't know. It's kind of like golf... you think you are swinging the same way but for some reason, you are shooting in the 90s instead of the 80s. One small flaw in the swing can do that... Same with poker.. some small leak can cost you. I need to pour over some PT stats and see if anything sticks out. One thing for sure is that I'm going to stick through this thing at least until 200 SNGs because that was my original goal. Anyway, here are the numbers:
July SNG Breakdown |
|---|
Desc | July 18 | MTD |
|---|
| Games | 12 | 185 |
|---|
| 1sts | 0 | 17 |
|---|
| 2nds | 1 | 22 |
|---|
| 3rds | 2 | 22 |
|---|
| 4ths | 2 | 20 |
|---|
| 5 - 7 | 2 | 65 |
|---|
| 8 - 10 | 5 | 39 |
|---|
| ITM% | 25% | 32.97% |
|---|
| ROI | -46.97% | -4.18% |
|---|
| Net$ | -310 | -425 |
|---|
- 8th - AT lost to AJ... battle of blinds.. Ace on flop.. no preflop raising. I was in BB
- 9th - TT lost to JJ
- 2nd - Q2s lost 98... Flush draw and gutshot on flop
- 6th - AA lost to TT
- 8th - KK lost to JJ
- 3rd - Kts lost A6
- 3rd - Q4s lost to AA... prior to that while down to final 3.. AQ lost to A5 and AQ lost to 87.... I may just fold AQ from now on... not really... but man.. this is getting really brutal
- 4th - A6 lost to AJ
- 9th - AA lost to AJs on river
- 8th - 55 lost to AQ on river.. short stacked at level 5
- 4th - KT lost A6
- 5th - A6 lost to KK on turn... ace on flop... level 6
As you can see, at the present moment, it doesn't seem to matter if I get my chips in with the best of it... For now, we will call it Variance with a capital "V".
1 comment:
Count me as your 9th blogline subscriber. I've linked you on my site as well. I thought I already had but oh well...now you are...
TripJax
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